Poker is a game based on mathematical probabilities. Knowing them is essential to make profitable decisions. However, very few players are even close to knowing the exact hand probabilities. The following statistic is based on over 2.5 million hands played. It’s not important that you have all poker probabilities in mind. Nevertheless, one should have certain poker probabilities in mind, such as the chance to complete his flush draw on the turn and river. To become a good poker player, you have to understand the game and certain situations, and you can only do that if you are intensively involved with the game. Just knowing the rules and basics is not enough to play poker successfully.
How often do you get aces before the flop, how often do you hit a set, how many different flops are there and how often do you flop a gutshot? Answers to these and other questions can be found in this article.
| Pokerhand | Amount | Probabilities % |
|---|---|---|
| Royal Flush | 4 | 0.00% |
| Straight Flush | 36 | 0.00% |
| Quads | 624 | 0.02% |
| Full House | 3744 | 0.14% |
| Flush | 5108 | 0.20% |
| Straight | 10200 | 0.39% |
| Three of a kind | 54912 | 2.11% |
| Two Pair | 123552 | 4.75% |
| Pair | 1098240 | 42.25% |
| High Card | 1302540 | 50.13% |
| The Probabilities, that … | Probabilities in % | The Chances are |
|---|---|---|
| you hold a pair before the flop | 5.88 | 16 zu 1 |
| you hold two cards with the same colour | 23.53 | 3,25 zu 1 |
| you hold two aces or kings before the flop | 0.9 | 110 zu 1 |
| you hold AK before the flop | 1.21 | 81,90 zu 1 |
| you hold minimum one Ace before the flop | 14.93 | 5,70 zu 1 |
| that you complete your Flush Draw until the River | 34.97 | 1,86 zu 1 |
| that you complete your Open Ended Straight Flush Draw after the Flop until the River | 8.42 | 10,90 zu 1 |
| that you complete with a Straight Flush Draw after the Flop minimum a Straight | 54.12 | 0,85 zu 1 |
| that you build with a Two Pair after the Flop minimum a Full House | 16.74 | 4,97 zu 1 |
| that you build with three of a kind on the Flop minimum a Full House at the end | 33.4 | 1,99 zu 1 |
| man mit einem gebildeten Paar nach dem Flop noch mindestens eine weitere dieser Karten bekommt | 8.42 | 10,90 zu 1 |
| that you hit a set on the flop | 11.76 | 7,51 zu 1 |
| that you hit a pair on the flop | 32.43 | 2,08 zu 1 |
| you hit a flop with at least 2 matching colors with 2 start cards of the same color | 11.79 | 7,48 zu 1 |
| that you hit a flush with two cards of the same colour on the flop | 0.84 | 118 zu 1 |
| that you hit quads with a pocket pair on the flop | 0.24 | 407 zu 1 |
| that you hit with 65 offsuit a Straight on the Flop | 1.31 | 75,6 zu 1 |
| that you hit with 75 offsuit a Straight on the Flop | 0.98 | 101 zu 1 |
| that you hit with 98 suited a Straight Flush on the Flop | 0.02 | 4.899 zu 1 |
| Probabilities Starting Hands Preflop if you are All-In | Probabilities |
|---|---|
| AA vs AK | 92% |
| AA vs QJ | 85% |
| AA vs KK | 82% |
| AA vs 22 | 82% |
| AA vs 76s | 77% |
| AK vs 22 | 47% |
| AK vs AJ | 72% |
| AK vs AJ | 58% |
| AK vs 54s | 45% |
| AJ vs KQ | 60% |
| A8 vs T9 | 57% |
| A8 vs 54 | 62% |
| A8 vs 54s | 58% |
| KK vs K2 | 94% |